Ukraine had a chance to blow up Russia’s best warplanes on the tarmac, but the White House said no—now it's too late. Learn what happened
Ukrainian Forces Intensify Strikes on Russian Airfields Amid Escalation
Risks
For months, Ukrainian officials have been requesting their foreign
allies to allow the use of advanced weaponry, particularly powerful ballistic
missiles, to target Russian airfields where warplanes are parked in the open.
These planes have been launching attacks on Ukrainian cities from close
proximity, causing significant damage and casualties. However, these allies
have hesitated, fearing the potential for escalation as the conflict grinds
into its 29th month.
Growing impatient, Ukrainian forces have taken matters into their own
hands, stepping up attacks on Russian airfields using Ukrainian-made munitions.
On Saturday, Ukrainian drones targeted Morozovsk air base in southern Russia,
about 200 miles from the eastern Ukraine front line. The Ukrainian intelligence
directorate reported that the raid destroyed a Sukhoi Su-34 fighter-bomber,
damaged two additional Su-34s, and set an ammunition warehouse ablaze.
Destruction and Impacts:
- Satellite imagery released by Ukrainian intelligence showed extensive
areas of scorched earth at Morozovsk, resulting from the ammunition detonation.
- The attack on Morozovsk, though not the first, is among the most
destructive, highlighting the vulnerability of Russian airfields.
The Ukrainian strategy is clear: by targeting airfields near the
Russia-Ukraine border, they aim to dismantle the key enablers of Russia's
glide-bombing campaign, specifically the warplanes and their bombs. Since the
introduction of satellite-guided glide bombs, the Russian air force has
increased their use, with Su-34 fighter-bombers frequently launching these
munitions from beyond the range of Ukraine's air defenses.
Effects of Russian Glide Bombs:
- These bombs, thanks to their wings, can hit targets from 25 miles or
more, causing significant damage.
- The Russians drop up to 100 KABs daily, some weighing over three tons,
leading to devastating impacts, particularly in urban areas. These bombs can
demolish buildings, trap people in basements, and complicate rescue operations.
Ukrainian forces have made it a priority to blunt this bombing campaign
by targeting the bombers and their bombs. A critical opportunity arose earlier
this summer when a significant number of Su-34s were parked openly at Voronezh
Malshevo air base, 100 miles from the Ukrainian border. Despite Ukrainian pleas
to use American-made Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) rockets, which are
highly effective and difficult to intercept, the Biden administration denied
the request, maintaining that Ukraine could only use ATACMS within
Russian-occupied Ukraine.
Russian Countermeasures:
- In response to the diplomatic discussions regarding ATACMS, Russia
proactively relocated many of its Su-34s from border airfields to bases
hundreds of miles away, beyond the reach of most Ukrainian drones and ATACMS.
- While some Su-34s and KAB bombs remain at border airfields like
Morozovsk, the majority are now stationed at more secure locations, making them
harder to target.
Ukrainian forces face a challenging situation: to effectively end the
Russian glide-bombing campaign, they need to destroy a large number of Su-34s
and their munitions. However, the smarter deployment of these assets by Russia
has complicated Ukraine's efforts. If permission to use ATACMS against Russian
bases is granted in the future, it might come too late to significantly impact
the current strategic landscape, as many valuable targets are now out of reach.
This ongoing conflict underscores the complexities and high stakes
involved in modern warfare, where the interplay between advanced weaponry,
strategic decisions, and international diplomacy can significantly influence
outcomes on the battlefield.
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